This weekend, we have a 12-fight PPV card in Brazil. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to get my 3rd chair this week to maximum it if I can. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at that $30k prize, then I will likely take a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get to a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Raoni Barcelos — $9,600
Barcelos is the cash game play on for me . On the gambling line he’s currently -1100 and he’s -206 to acquire ITD. He is additionally +110 to win in round 1. He is my favourite play on the board, the only real issue is being able to afford him. For money games, I will for sure match him . For GPPs it’s going to be harder to get 6 wins paying for his massive salary, but I like him there as well. I just won’t make it a priority to get him into these tournament lineups, but cash I want that -1100 on my group to get a secure win.
GPP play of the week — Ryan Spann — $8,800
This is a battle I like to target. My preferred play is Spann however Little Nog is in play also. The line for FDGTD is -280 and that I think Spann can win via KO or sub, and it might be 1st round too. I believe he can compete with the 9k fighters and he could be a man that kicks them off the 1st location lineup. Little Nog is the better boxer though and Spann doesn’t have a great chin , so that I really could see Nog winning via KO. I really don’t think that is likely, so I will not be heavy on him, but he will make my participant pool. Spann is a man I believe is in play in most formats and that I will attempt to be obese on him. It’s more of a fade on Small Nog at this time, but I really don’t see this fight going all 3-rounds and I like Spann to find the win.
Underdog drama of the week — Alex Volkanovski — $7,800
On DraftKings, I anticipate Volkanovski to be quite chalky and rightfully so. He’s my favorite play in this battle and his previous scores pretty much make him a man you can not fade if you are MMEing. I really don’t see him using the ceiling he did in his previous fights vs Aldo, but those numbers are difficult to dismiss. His 6 UFC wins have every totaled over 100 DK points. From most recent struggle to his debut, all these are his DK scores: 107, 100, 129, 116, 107, and 115. That’s pretty amazing. I believe he’s a fantastic chance of upsetting the legend and maybe getting a finish for another high score. I don’t believe Aldo is a fantastic matchup for him to demonstrate that 100+ stage ceiling however at $7.8k we do not need that lots of points. I think IF he wins, he easily pays off that salary.
Fade of the week — Luana Carolina — $8,900
There’s absolutely no way I am paying $8.9k for Carolina. She is the fade of the week and if it disturbs me afterward it burns me. I don’t see that being true though even if she wins. I expect this struggle to keep standing and that I don’t see her striking at a speed to pay off her price tag without getting a finish. I really don’t believe she gets that complete so even when she wins I think she scores nearer to 75 DK points and at her wages which won’t wind up to the optimal lineup. Even if I make 150 lineups this week I will not get any exposure to Carolina.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I am 76-45 for +260.95 (+$26,095) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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